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Why Do Mortgage Rates
Change?
To understand
why mortgage rates change we must first ask the more general
question, "Why do interest rates change?" It is important to
realize that there is not one interest rate, but many
interest rates!
- Prime
rate: The rate offered to a bank's best customers.
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Treasury bill rates: Treasury bills are short-term
debt instruments used by the U.S. Government to finance
their debt. Commonly called T-bills they come in
denominations of 3 months, 6 months and 1 year. Each
treasury bill has a corresponding interest rate (i.e.
3-month T-bill rate, 1-year T-bill rate).
-
Treasury Notes: Intermediate-term debt instruments
used by the U.S. Government to finance their debt. They
come in denominations of 2 years, 5 years and 10 years.
-
Treasury Bonds: Long-debt instruments used by the U.S.
Government to finance its debt. Treasury bonds come in
30-year denominations.
-
Federal Funds Rate: Rates banks charge each other for
overnight loans.
-
Federal Discount Rate: Rate New York Fed charges to
member banks.
-
Libor: : London Interbank Offered Rates. Average
London Eurodollar rates.
- 6
month CD rate: The average rate that you get when you
invest in a 6-month CD.
- 11th
District Cost of Funds: Rate determined by averaging a
composite of other rates.
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Fannie Mae-Backed Security rates: Fannie Mae pools
large quantities of mortgages, creates securities with
them, and sells them as Fannie Mae-backed securities. The
rates on these securities influence mortgage rates very
strongly.
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Ginnie Mae-Backed Security rates: Ginnie Mae pools
large quantities of mortgages, secures them and sells them
as Ginnie Mae-backed securities. The rates on these
securities influence mortgage rates on FHA and VA loans.
Interest-rate
movements are based on the simple concept of supply and
demand. If the demand for credit (loans) increases, so do
interest rates. This is because there are more buyers, so
sellers can command a better price, i.e. higher rates. If
the demand for credit reduces, then so do interest rates.
This is because there are more sellers than buyers, so
buyers can command a lower better price, i.e. lower rates.
When the economy is expanding there is a higher demand for
credit, so rates move higher, whereas when the economy is
slowing the demand for credit decreases and so do interest
rates.
This
leads to a fundamental concept:
- Bad
news (i.e. a slowing economy) is good news for
interest rates (i.e. lower rates).
- Good
news (i.e. a growing economy) is bad news for interest
rates (i.e. higher rates).
A major factor
driving interest rates is inflation. Higher inflation is
associated with a growing economy. When the economy grows
too strongly, the Federal Reserve increases interest rates
to slow the economy down and reduce inflation. Inflation
results from prices of goods and services increasing. When
the economy is strong, there is more demand for goods and
services, so the producers of those goods and services can
increase prices. A strong economy therefore results in
higher real-estate prices, higher rents on apartments and
higher mortgage rates.
Mortgage rates
tend to move in the same direction as interest rates.
However, actual mortgage rates are also based on supply and
demand for mortgages. The supply/demand equation for
mortgage rates may be different from the supply/demand
equation for interest rates. This might sometimes result in
mortgage rates moving differently from other rates. For
example, one lender may be forced to close additional
mortgages to meet a commitment they have made. This results
in them offering lower rates even though interest rates may
have moved up!
Annual
Percentage Rates (APR)
In comparing
any type of loan, whether it be a fixed rate loan to a fixed
rate loan, adjustable rate loan to adjustable rate loan or
fixed rate loan to adjustable rate loan, there is one way
that can be used to compare apples to apples and even apples
to oranges.
APRs are
designed to do just that. APRs are a way to calculate the
annual cost of loans, taking into consideration loan
origination fees (points) and the other costs associated
with securing a loan. The additional costs include appraisal
and credit report fees as well as processing and document
fees.
One confusing
aspect of APRs is that the APR on 15 year loans will carry a
higher relative rate due to the fact that the points are
amortized over the 15 year term rather than the 30 year
term. When a Regulation Z (Reg Z, the mortgage companies
disclosure of cost for the loan) is prepared for a
buyer/borrower the prepaid interest is also included in the
APR calculation. For our illustrations we will use only the
points, appraisal, credit report, processing and document
fees.
As a means of
protecting consumers from companies who did not disclose the
fees associated with a particularly low start rate on an
adjustable rate loan or below market rate on a fixed rate
loan, APRs give consumers a way to check the true cost of a
loan.
If you are
currently in the market to buy or sell a home, we can help
find you the rate at the percentage you are looking for.
How? With our "Rate Search" program we can help you get the
best mortgage rate for your money.
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